Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +41 (90-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Tyne | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -12.0 |
| B. White | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -14.3 |
| Dusan Neskovic | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Collin Tanner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Jason Roche | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Mike Walz | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Jonathan Beagle | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -7.7 |
| George Washington III | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -7.6 |
| Ryan Soulis | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jack Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.0 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 27 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +6.7 |
| J. Bamisile | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +9.2 |
| Michael Belle | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +6.9 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Phillip Russell | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Jack Clark | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Christian Fermin | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +11.1 |
| Zeb Jackson | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.4 |
| Obinnaya Okafor | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
* = starter