Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Cheeks | 36 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Javon Bennett | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Nate Santos | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Amael L'Etang | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -0.8 |
| Posh Alexander | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Malachi Smith | 21 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | +0.5 |
| Zed Key | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Jacob Conner | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Jaiun Simon | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Isaac Jack | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibson Jimerson | 40 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | -5.5 |
| Isaiah Swope | 36 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Kobe Johnson | 35 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -3.9 |
| Robbie Avila | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Kalu Anya | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Dylan Warlick | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -13.7 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.2 |
| Amari McCottry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| Max Pikaar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter