Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 34 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Phillip Russell | 32 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Jack Clark | 31 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -7.3 |
| J. Bamisile | 26 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Zeb Jackson | 18 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Christian Fermin | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Jennings | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Michael Belle | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibson Jimerson | 39 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | +12.3 |
| Isaiah Swope | 38 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Robbie Avila | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 12 | +7.9 |
| Kobe Johnson | 34 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +5.1 |
| Kalu Anya | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | +12.8 |
| Dylan Warlick | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Amari McCottry | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +5.8 |
| Max Pikaar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
* = starter