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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - โœ“
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.9% 23.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Kochera 36 3-13 1-6 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 11 4 +6.1
Bobby Durkin 35 6-12 3-8 1-2 10 2 1 0 0 16 17 +5.2
Reed Bailey 34 11-17 4-4 6-8 0 3 1 0 2 32 17 +1.3
Zach Laput 30 2-5 1-4 1-2 6 3 2 0 1 6 11 +1.1
Hunter Adam 22 0-1 0-1 0-2 5 2 0 0 0 0 6 +13.5
Mike Loughnane 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -6.1
Manie Joses 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 +1.9
Joe Hurlburt 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +3.9
Roberts Blums 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikkel Tyne 31 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 4 1 +2.7
Dusan Neskovic 29 5-13 3-8 3-3 7 1 0 0 3 16 8 -3.3
Jason Roche 28 4-7 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 13 8 -6.9
B. White 27 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 2 7 -3.3
Collin Tanner 24 3-6 0-3 0-1 2 3 3 0 2 6 6 -5.6
Mike Walz 23 7-8 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 17 15 +6.6
Apostolos Roumoglou 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.5
Jonathan Beagle 17 3-6 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 1 0 8 9 -11.8
George Washington III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 +2.0

* = starter