Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown | 38 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Erik Reynolds II | 38 | 8-19 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +7.1 |
| Derek Simpson | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Anthony Finkley | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Justice Ajogbor | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Dasear Haskins | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Shawn Simmons II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos | 35 | 9-14 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | +2.6 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Javon Bennett | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Malachi Smith | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Amael L'Etang | 26 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Jacob Conner | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Posh Alexander | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Zed Key | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Isaac Jack | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Jaiun Simon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.0 |
* = starter