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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 67.2% 32.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“
Margin 54.6% 45.4% -1.0 โœ“ (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Maddox 36 3-13 1-6 7-7 7 1 2 0 3 14 8 +8.3
Zach Anderson 34 6-9 5-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 17 10 +6.8
Jalen Haynes 28 3-6 0-0 1-1 7 3 0 2 1 7 12 +7.9
Brayden O'Connor 23 2-6 1-1 8-8 5 3 0 1 0 13 16 +4.4
Jared Billups 22 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 1 2 2 7 +12.1
K.D. Johnson 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 3 5 +6.8
Woody Newton 18 4-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 +1.6
Giovanni Emejuru 15 5-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 11 7 +4.8
Justin Begg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Melvin Council Jr. 40 8-19 0-4 2-3 6 4 1 0 2 18 8 -9.9
Jonah Hinton 40 3-11 1-7 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 7 1 -9.9
Noel Brown 32 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 6 6 +0.6
Lajae Jones 30 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 5 7 +3.1
Noah Bolanga 21 2-5 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -5.4
Duane Thompson 21 4-9 2-3 6-9 7 0 1 1 2 16 14 -12.1
Miles Rose 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6.1
Xander Wedlow 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -8.0

* = starter