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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks Davidson Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“

Actual: Davidson Wildcats -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Erik Reynolds II 36 6-14 5-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 17 8 +11.0
Xzayvier Brown 33 7-14 2-5 4-4 1 6 0 0 3 20 10 +12.9
Derek Simpson 32 3-9 1-6 0-0 7 6 2 0 2 7 11 +14.2
Rasheer Fleming 27 5-8 1-2 1-2 8 2 1 3 1 12 17 +16.4
Anthony Finkley 27 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 6 +18.8
Justice Ajogbor 20 5-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 3 0 10 16 -0.9
Dasear Haskins 13 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 +5.2
Mekai Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7
Shawn Simmons II 6 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -2.0

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Durkin 35 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 4 -18.6
Connor Kochera 33 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 2 -13.6
Reed Bailey 32 10-23 1-4 4-4 5 3 1 0 1 25 10 -15.9
Zach Laput 31 4-9 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 0 2 10 7 -9.4
Mike Loughnane 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -7.7
Roberts Blums 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 -3.0
Riccardo Ghedini 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -0.8
Manie Joses 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -1.3
Joe Hurlburt 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.9
Hunter Adam 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9

* = starter