Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 39 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -15.7 |
| Lajae Jones | 36 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -9.6 |
| Noel Brown | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | -6.6 |
| Jonah Hinton | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.2 |
| Miles Rose | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -15.5 |
| Duane Thompson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -17.3 |
| Noah Bolanga | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Chance Moore | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Xander Wedlow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Necas | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +11.6 |
| Tre Dinkins | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Jahsean Corbett | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Cameron Crawford | 21 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4.6 |
| David Dixon | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +23.3 |
| Kareem Rozier | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +12.2 |
| Maximus Edwards | 17 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +11.8 |
| Matus Hronsky | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +14.3 |
| Halil Barre | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Eli Wilborn | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.2 |
* = starter