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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Chicago Ramblers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“

Actual: Dayton Flyers +2 (83-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Chicago Ramblers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Des Watson 42 6-17 4-10 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 18 8 -1.5
Jayden Dawson 39 6-12 2-8 5-6 5 3 1 1 3 19 14 +2.7
Sheldon Edwards Jr. 32 7-10 5-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 19 17 -4.6
Jalen Quinn 32 5-6 0-0 0-1 1 4 2 0 5 10 6 -10.2
Kymany Houinsou 23 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 5 4 -2 +4.6
Miles Rubin 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 4 4 2 6 -11.3
Francis Nwaokorie 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 5 +0.1
Jalen DeLoach 17 2-2 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 2 6 8 -5.7
Daniil Glazkov 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Enoch Cheeks 43 10-14 6-9 0-0 7 2 5 1 4 26 23 +15.5
Javon Bennett 40 5-10 2-4 3-3 2 1 1 0 1 15 8 +0.3
Nate Santos 38 3-11 0-4 1-1 7 2 0 0 2 7 3 -2.7
Malachi Smith 34 4-11 0-3 7-8 3 8 0 0 2 15 13 +6.5
Amael L'Etang 32 3-4 0-0 5-5 5 2 0 1 2 11 13 +17.6
Hamad Mousa 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +5.7
Zed Key 9 2-4 0-0 5-8 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -8.8
Jaiun Simon 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 +7.5
Jacob Conner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -3.0
Isaac Jack 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter