Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Clark | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | +2.2 |
| Max Shulga | 31 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Phillip Russell | 30 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Zeb Jackson | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +6.0 |
| Christian Fermin | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Bamisile | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Michael Belle | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Brandon Jennings | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheer Fleming | 38 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -4.2 |
| Xzayvier Brown | 37 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | -0.6 |
| Derek Simpson | 34 | 4-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -3 | -8.9 |
| Justice Ajogbor | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Erik Reynolds II | 26 | 5-15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Dasear Haskins | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Anthony Finkley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
* = starter