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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +14 (63-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Apostolos Roumoglou 31 2-8 1-6 0-0 7 5 0 0 0 5 9 -3.4
Mike Walz 31 1-3 0-1 1-2 5 4 1 0 0 3 10 +1.4
Dusan Neskovic 29 1-8 0-6 4-5 4 0 0 0 2 6 0 +0.3
Jason Roche 24 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 8 +1.7
Mikkel Tyne 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -3 -5.6
B. White 21 1-7 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 0 -9.6
Jonathan Beagle 18 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 8 3 -6.6
Collin Tanner 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -2.0
George Washington III 9 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -12.8

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chance Moore 40 3-5 0-2 9-12 9 0 0 2 1 15 20 +7.4
Jonah Hinton 40 7-14 5-10 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 19 7 +7.4
Melvin Council Jr. 40 5-11 1-5 3-3 7 5 3 0 1 14 17 +7.4
Noel Brown 33 1-4 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 +9.4
Lajae Jones 32 1-7 1-5 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 4 3 +3.5
Duane Thompson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -0.9
Xander Wedlow 7 3-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 +4.0

* = starter