Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Maddox | 36 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | -3.0 |
| Jalen Haynes | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Jared Billups | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Zach Anderson | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +16.2 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -2.7 |
| K.D. Johnson | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Woody Newton | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Justin Begg | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +6.1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Santos | 35 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | -12.8 |
| Malachi Smith | 34 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Enoch Cheeks | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -5.3 |
| Javon Bennett | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +16.2 |
| Zed Key | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -7.7 |
| Amael L'Etang | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | +12.2 |
| Jaiun Simon | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +14.3 |
| Isaac Jack | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Jacob Conner | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.9 |
* = starter