Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gibson Jimerson | 40 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Isaiah Swope | 38 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Robbie Avila | 33 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 24 | -5.6 |
| Kobe Johnson | 33 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Kalu Anya | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Kellen Thames | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Max Pikaar | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Warlick | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Clark | 34 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Max Shulga | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +9.0 |
| J. Bamisile | 30 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Christian Fermin | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Phillip Russell | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Zeb Jackson | 22 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Brandon Jennings | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Michael Belle | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.4 |
* = starter