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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.7% 27.3% -
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Fleming 42 7-12 3-6 3-5 10 4 2 1 3 20 22 -3.3
X. Brown 42 5-11 0-2 7-9 5 10 0 1 2 17 20 -6.6
D. Simpson 37 5-13 1-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 12 3 -10.7
J. Ajogbor 32 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 3 10 8 -0.6
E. Reynolds II 29 1-8 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -4 +0.9
D. Haskins 26 4-5 2-2 2-3 6 3 0 0 0 12 16 +3.8
A. Finkley 11 2-3 2-3 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -9.0
S. Simmons II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.6

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Corbett 39 0-8 0-1 3-4 9 5 1 0 0 3 10 +9.4
T. Dinkins 35 10-20 4-12 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 26 9 +5.6
C. Crawford 34 3-8 3-5 4-4 1 1 1 0 2 13 6 +3.8
K. Rozier 33 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 7 0 0 0 7 10 +11.5
D. Dixon 26 7-11 2-3 1-2 9 1 0 3 1 17 18 +23.0
M. Hronsky 21 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 -2 -2.4
H. Barre 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 3 -10.1
J. Necas 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 +5.9
M. Edwards 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 2 -0.1
E. Wilborn 4 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -3.9

* = starter