Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiyanna Culver | 37 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Josie Hill | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 21 | -1.7 |
| Evangelina Parrish | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -24.3 |
| Marisa Gant | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Hailey Hohenecker | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Asha Walker | 20 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | -9.7 |
| Tania Allen | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Tally Williams | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +14.2 |
| Kayla Mount | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -7.5 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ineivi Plata | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Airah Lavy | 29 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Marina Artero | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +11.1 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Julianna Gibson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Harris Robinson | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Natalie Johnson | 18 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Giselle Eke | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Marissa Shelton | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Alary Bell | 8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -7.0 |
| Jade Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter