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2024-12-31

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% -
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% -
Margin 80.7% 19.3% -7.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% -
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shulga 34 4-11 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 11 8 -5.5
J. Bamisile 27 4-9 3-5 2-2 8 2 1 1 5 13 11 -7.6
P. Russell 27 10-16 6-12 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 26 16 -7.0
Z. Jackson 24 2-5 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -6.0
C. Fermin 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
M. Belle 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 2 4 -3.6
J. Clark 17 2-8 0-4 1-1 6 1 0 0 1 5 3 -4.2
L. Bamgboye 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 2 0 2 4 -1.5
B. Jennings 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 +0.5
A. Billups III 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Council Jr. 40 7-17 1-4 5-6 8 4 0 0 1 20 14 +9.4
L. Jones 40 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 11 9 +9.4
N. Brown 37 8-13 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 20 13 +9.9
J. Hinton 34 6-11 3-6 1-2 0 0 2 0 3 16 4 +5.0
C. Moore 31 3-9 0-3 2-5 12 2 2 1 1 8 15 +8.8
N. Bolanga 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 +6.3
X. Wedlow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
M. Rose 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter