Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 37 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Connor Kochera | 37 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Zach Laput | 34 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -12.0 |
| Reed Bailey | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | -13.0 |
| Mike Loughnane | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -11.4 |
| Hunter Adam | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Roberts Blums | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Joe Hurlburt | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.2 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden O'Connor | 32 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +4.0 |
| Darius Maddox | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Jalen Haynes | 31 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Jared Billups | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Zach Anderson | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Woody Newton | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +10.9 |
| Justin Begg | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2.3 |
| K.D. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
* = starter