Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +32.4 | ✓ (24.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +57 (95-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ineivi Plata | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | -39.1 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -30.6 |
| Harris Robinson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -20.8 |
| Marissa Shelton | 21 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -2 | -22.5 |
| Airah Lavy | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -20.1 |
| Giselle Eke | 15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -14.9 |
| Julianna Gibson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -14.6 |
| Marina Artero | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -16.3 |
| Natalie Johnson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -15.0 |
| Jade Campbell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -20.2 |
| Gemma Walker | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.3 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Zeinstra | 32 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 5-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | +35.2 |
| Lily Carmody | 26 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | +17.8 |
| Kilyn McGuff | 22 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +26.9 |
| Jocelyn Land | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +14.5 |
| Ari Wiggins | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +18.4 |
| Karsyn Norman | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +18.6 |
| Riley Makalusky | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | +24.8 |
| Sydney Jaynes | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +17.7 |
| Cristen Carter | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +15.0 |
| Lilly Stoddard | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.7 |
* = starter