Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Southern Miss Lady Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Lady Eagles +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TI'lan Boler | 40 | 8-21 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 5 | -9.8 |
| Alasia Smith | 35 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | -2.1 |
| Tanyuel Welch | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Layken Cox | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Elauna Eaton | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | -10.7 |
| Raven Sims | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Tamya Smith | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bailey Gilmore | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9.9 |
| Latazia Williamson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.0 |
Southern Miss Lady Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bre Sutton | 40 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +11.0 |
| Trinity Rowe | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Morgan Sieper | 32 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Melyia Grayson | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +10.0 |
| Nyla Jean | 27 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Mikaylah Manley | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +11.1 |
| Je'Mya Evans | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Micah Cooper | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +8.9 |
* = starter