Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -5.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Moore Jr. | 34 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | +9.7 |
| K. Mading | 28 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +4.4 |
| C. Ings | 26 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. McMahon | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -7.4 |
| C. Fields Jr. | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -5.3 |
| J. Darden | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +11.2 |
| T. Jones | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.7 |
| J. Myers | 17 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -2.1 |
| T. Bladen | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +6.5 |
| D. Camara | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stevenson | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -4.4 |
| K. Dozier | 32 | 7-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -4.4 |
| E. Ross | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +2.5 |
| C. Newton | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -11.1 |
| L. Hutchinson | 22 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +10.0 |
| P.J. Eason | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -20.6 |
| J. Flippin | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -7.7 |
| PJ Edwards | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +10.3 |
| S. Ray | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
| E. Nnaji | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter