Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -15.5 |
| Mark Freeman * | 28 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | -18.4 |
| AJ Smith * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Justin Taylor * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 28 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | -24.2 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -14.3 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Anderson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Noah Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Jones * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +12.8 |
| Kuluel Mading * | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +18.7 |
| Christian Ings * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Tyrel Bladen * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Sin'Cere McMahon | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +24.1 |
| Jalen Myers | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +13.4 |
| Dramane Camara | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +19.1 |
| Jordan Leaks | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -0.5 |
* = starter