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2024-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Norfolk State Spartans Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.9% 89.1% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +25 (94-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Norfolk State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ings 31 4-6 2-2 2-3 2 4 1 1 5 12 9 -
B. Moore Jr. 30 4-10 1-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 3 11 6 -15.8
J. Darden 27 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 11 7 -15.5
J. Myers 26 2-6 1-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 3 7 7 -16.1
T. Bladen 26 3-5 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 8 1 -8.3
C. Fields Jr. 18 2-4 0-2 2-3 4 3 1 1 0 6 11 -7.7
T. Jones 18 1-4 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -7.4
S. McMahon 12 2-4 2-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -4.4
K. Mading 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5.4
J. Leaks 2 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1.8
M. Baines 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.6
D. Camara 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wright III 35 7-10 2-4 0-0 4 13 2 0 1 16 24 +18.1
VJ Edgecombe 32 6-11 2-5 2-4 9 4 3 0 1 16 20 +13.3
J. Nunn 29 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 2 +13.5
L. Love 26 3-9 1-5 1-1 3 3 3 0 2 8 6 +15.7
N. Omier 26 7-10 1-1 4-6 7 2 5 1 2 19 22 +6.9
J. Ojianwuna 23 6-7 0-0 4-6 4 0 1 1 0 16 15 +18.9
J. Celestine 18 3-9 1-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 3 +7.9
J. Asemota 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3.7
M. Dubravcic 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.7
D. Hubbard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.7
O. Adegbola 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter