Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Moore Jr. | 32 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Terrance Jones | 28 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +9.0 |
| Kuluel Mading | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Jaylani Darden | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Jalen Myers | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Chris Fields Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Sin'Cere McMahon | 19 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Christian Ings | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyrel Bladen | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13.7 |
| Dramane Camara | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron Hobbs | 40 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | -3.5 |
| Amahrie Simpkins | 38 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Will Thomas | 30 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | -5.0 |
| Kiran Oliver | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -9.1 |
| Trent Edwards | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -6.7 |
| Demajion Topps | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.3 |
* = starter