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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina State Bulldogs Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - โœ“
Margin 80.7% 19.3% -7.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears -14 (72-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Omar Croskey 32 6-9 2-4 3-4 6 2 3 0 2 17 17 +12.6
Davion Everett 31 6-8 0-0 6-9 8 3 1 1 4 18 19 +5.1
Mitchell Taylor 28 3-7 0-1 0-1 3 5 2 0 0 6 9 +10.4
Michael Teal 25 3-7 0-1 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 6 1 -5.2
Drayton Jones 20 8-15 0-0 4-7 6 1 1 1 3 20 11 +16.4
Wilson Dubinsky 17 3-5 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 8 5 +17.8
Jayden Johnson 14 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 8 +7.0
James Morrow 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.7
Florian Tenebay 10 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 2 5 +2.6
D'Shay Wright 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.5
Colin McKenzie 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3.2

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kameron Hobbs 38 8-15 2-5 4-6 3 2 2 0 4 22 10 -9.1
Will Thomas 34 3-7 0-2 5-5 2 4 0 0 5 11 5 -12.2
Jaden Martin 29 2-5 1-2 2-4 6 2 1 1 2 7 10 -11.3
Rob Lawson 27 4-7 2-2 0-0 3 4 1 1 3 10 9 +5.5
Daniel Akitoby 24 6-7 0-0 0-3 3 0 1 0 1 12 8 -10.8
Wynston Tabbs 21 0-3 0-0 3-6 1 2 1 1 0 3 5 -11.1
Matar Wade 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 4 -0.3
Trent Edwards 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Kiran Oliver 5 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -5.7
Demajion Topps 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.8

* = starter