Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson * | 34 | 0-12 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | +1.0 |
| Nendah Tarke * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 7-11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Christian May * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Abdou Samb * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -0.2 |
| Caleb Embeya | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Messiah Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +0.8 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amahrie Simpkins * | 36 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Rob Lawson * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +6.5 |
| Wynston Tabbs * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | -4.8 |
| Daniel Akitoby * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Kiran Oliver * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Will Thomas | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Kameron Hobbs | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Jaden Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Marland Harris | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
| Tytan Newton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
* = starter