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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Delaware Blue Hens Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“

Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kas. Watson * 32 3-9 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 6 4 -
Robert Smith * 28 8-17 3-6 3-5 2 0 1 0 4 22 4 -
Martaz Robinson * 27 6-14 1-2 6-8 3 0 1 0 0 19 9 -8.9
Alston Andrews * 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 4 7 -11.9
Muneer Newton * 18 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 -14.7
Corey Perkins 22 2-6 0-1 4-5 2 0 2 0 0 8 6 -4.4
Ray Somerville 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 4 +5.3
Dean Shepherd 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 +3.4
Ponce James 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 7 8 +3.4
Caleb Surgers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
K. Watson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Delaware Blue Hens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cavan Reilly * 32 7-11 5-7 1-1 5 1 1 0 2 20 14 +12.1
Erik Timko * 31 5-8 3-6 5-6 3 4 0 0 2 18 15 +12.6
Izaiah Pasha * 31 4-8 0-3 4-4 4 4 0 2 2 12 12 +14.5
John Camden * 29 5-8 3-4 0-0 6 4 2 0 3 13 14 +9.4
Tahron Allen * 21 3-5 3-4 0-2 2 5 3 0 1 9 13 +4.0
Niels Lane 21 3-6 1-2 5-8 1 1 0 1 1 12 8 +2.0
Macon Emory 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 0 3 +1.8
Trent Middleton Jr. 12 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -1.1
Houston Emory 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 1 3 +2.8
Kevin Kogbara 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 +3.9

* = starter