Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kas. Watson * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Muneer Newton * | 35 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -4.0 |
| Martaz Robinson * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Robert Smith * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Alston Andrews * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6.9 |
| Ray Somerville | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -8.7 |
| Corey Perkins | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Caleb Surgers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ponce James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Clemmons | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Dean Shepherd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +15.7 |
| Jedy Cordilia * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +11.2 |
| Dallas Hobbs * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Dola Adebayo * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -5.3 |
| Carmelo Pacheco * | 20 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -0.3 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +13.6 |
| Javon Ervin | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +8.9 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Trey Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter