๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.2 โœ“ (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +31 (65-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caroline Bornemann 30 2-9 1-5 2-2 11 2 1 0 3 7 9 -13.7
Paula Gallego 24 2-7 0-3 1-1 6 0 0 0 2 5 2 -19.8
Olivia Rockwood 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -17.9
Sera Hodgson 22 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -11.9
Asta Blauenfeldt 21 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -9.0
Sarah Talon 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 3 0 2 3 2 3 -9.5
Caroline Dotsey 18 1-8 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -6 -8.5
Emmie Streams 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.3
Jaycie Christopher 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -9.7
Idan Shlush 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.8

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Catherine Gilwee 34 3-5 0-0 0-1 1 5 0 0 2 6 5 +15.3
Anna Olson 32 9-12 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 19 13 +19.1
Keira Hanson 32 4-8 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 9 8 +14.9
Bella Vito 31 6-9 0-1 0-0 5 3 4 0 0 12 15 +17.6
Nikola Priede 28 5-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 11 7 +19.4
Sarah Ericson 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 6 +9.9
Malia Lenz 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 +4.0
Emma Haan 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 +4.4
Sarah Lazar 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 +1.0
Devon Yarde 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.1
Piper Risdon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Nika Kurdija 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +0.0

* = starter