Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimer Salaridze * | 26 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Tarence Guinyard * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -5.3 |
| Afan Trnka * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +9.5 |
| AJ Hopkins * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.8 |
| M. Žužić * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Carlos Cortijo | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Josué Grullon | 27 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +10.9 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Lamine Niang | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Banks * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Johnny Kinziger * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -5.8 |
| Landon Wolf * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Chase Walker * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -7.4 |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.6 |
| Ty Pence | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Jack Daugherty | 15 | 5-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -7.6 |
| Jordan Davis | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Caden Boser | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Cade Norris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Cameron Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
* = starter