Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +26 (80-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshawn Comer | 40 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | -24.7 |
| Tanner Cuff | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -24.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 25 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -20.2 |
| Cameron Haffner | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Gui Tesch | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -23.5 |
| Connor Turnbull | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Michael Day | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -11.6 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.8 |
| Trent Hundley | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Braylon Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Ware | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | +26.4 |
| Diante Smith | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +26.6 |
| Jaden Wells | 24 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Raysean Seamster | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +12.3 |
| Brody Robinson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +12.0 |
| Darius Burford | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Kade Douglas | 13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Troy Hupstead | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Cameron Jackson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Zachariah Mianab | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarren Cook | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +3.1 |
* = starter