Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Huff | 35 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +4.3 |
| T. Bonham | 31 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | -14.1 |
| G. Keeslar | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +0.9 |
| F. Champion | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +4.6 |
| S. Cusano | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +14.8 |
| B. Wieland | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -4.9 |
| C. Mulholland | 16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +17.5 |
| J. Kostel | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| N. Melson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.5 |
| M. Richards | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.7 |
| L. Diouf | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cuff | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -4.3 |
| G. Pozzato | 35 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -4.3 |
| T. Comer | 32 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +12.4 |
| J. Hughes | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -4.3 |
| C. Haffner | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -11.9 |
| C. Turnbull | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +2.0 |
| M. Day | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.5 |
| K. Berridge | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12.6 |
| T. Hundley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter