🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +17 (98-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall * 37 4-14 4-11 5-6 3 2 1 0 1 17 8 -16.5
P. Ruedinger * 33 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 6 0 2 5 8 -10.4
A. Roy * 32 8-15 5-10 10-10 7 2 2 0 4 31 23 -14.5
J. Johnson * 24 5-8 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 11 4 -3.0
F. Wonders * 17 0-8 0-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -4 -2.7
B. Tweedy 20 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -20.0
C.J. O'Hara 17 2-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 1 0 5 6 -8.0
M. Wrecke 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -6.9
M. Muoneke 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -4.9
D. Santoro 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +4.0
R. Oselka 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Haffner * 36 10-16 5-9 2-2 9 4 0 1 3 27 22 +16.5
T. Cuff * 34 4-5 1-1 6-8 7 6 2 1 2 15 24 +25.6
T. Comer * 34 5-12 1-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 2 11 8 +27.5
G. Pozzato * 32 6-9 0-2 1-1 3 1 2 1 2 13 9 +25.6
J. Hughes * 22 8-9 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 19 14 +22.7
C. Turnbull 20 2-4 1-1 4-4 8 3 0 1 2 9 15 +2.9
M. Day 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -9.2
K. Berridge 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -1.9
T. Myers 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -9.1
W. Aigner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Candler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -9.1
C. Gehlhausen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -9.1

* = starter