Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bufford | 34 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Jestin Porter | 30 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Camryn Weston | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -16.7 |
| Essam Mostafa | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Jlynn Counter | 22 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Tre Green | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +16.1 |
| Chris Loofe | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Kamari Lands | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -5.5 |
| Torey Alston | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Jacob Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Whitt | 36 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +1.3 |
| Isaiah Walker | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Sam Orme | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Brigham Rogers | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +10.4 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Brody Peebles | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Win Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Dykstra | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter