Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brady II | 42 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 9-14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | -9.7 |
| Zaxton King | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | -2.9 |
| Dez White | 30 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | -7.6 |
| Chase Martin | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Allen Udemadu | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Logan Epes | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Jalen Hampton | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Wesley Oba | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Makhai Valentine | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 40 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +8.9 |
| Ali Dibba | 40 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | +9.7 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 37 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Drew Steffe | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +0.7 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 31 | 11-16 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 22 | +5.1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Antwaun Massey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter