Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius DeAveiro | 40 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Carson Schwieger | 40 | 13-20 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 34 | -1.7 |
| All Wright | 38 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.6 |
| C. Schwieger | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 13 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Justus McNair | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devon Ellis | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyem Freeman | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Filip Skobalj | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 28 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Mason | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Modestas Kancleris | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Ethan Pickett | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Saša Ciani | 18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Javon Jackson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Koby Jeffries | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.7 |
* = starter