Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Ali Dibba | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -17.0 |
| K. Davis Jr. | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -20.3 |
| Davion Sykes | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +10.0 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -13.7 |
| Jorge Moreno | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +6.2 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner | 33 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +19.9 |
| Kmani Doughty | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | +21.7 |
| Samage Teel | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +8.4 |
| Aaron Gray | 26 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +6.7 |
| Bruno Alocen | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +8.9 |
| Derek Vorst | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 12 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Josiah LeGree | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Markus Harding | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +6.4 |
| Jayan Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
| Merritt Alderink | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Jahni Summers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Cooper Bean | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter