Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zek Montgomery | 30 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Christian Davis | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Darius Hannah | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | +3.3 |
| Duke Deen | 28 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +12.9 |
| Almar Atlason | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +12.1 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +12.0 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +8.9 |
| Demarion Burch | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +8.9 |
| Corey Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Schwieger | 38 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -11.8 |
| All Wright | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | -14.2 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -9.1 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 25 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.4 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -9.7 |
| Justus McNair | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Devon Ellis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
* = starter