Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 33 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 32 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Carter Whitt | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -11.2 |
| Isaiah Walker | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Brigham Rogers | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Aidan Noyes | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Sam Orme | 14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Brody Peebles | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +19.0 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.3 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brady II | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | -3.1 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 20 | +4.0 |
| Dez White | 34 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Wesley Oba | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Zaxton King | 29 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -14.6 |
| Chase Martin | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Jalen Hampton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
| Makhai Valentine | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
* = starter