Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood | 45 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.4 |
| AJ Ferguson | 45 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Terence Harcum | 39 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +12.5 |
| Kylen Milton | 39 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +7.6 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Nick Ellington | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Alden Applewhite | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -14.8 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Hannah | 37 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -10.2 |
| Duke Deen | 34 | 6-14 | 6-11 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | -6.5 |
| Christian Davis | 33 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Zek Montgomery | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -1.4 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Demarion Burch | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +12.9 |
| Corey Thomas | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Almar Atlason | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11.2 |
* = starter