Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner | 37 | 11-23 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 13 | -1.5 |
| Samage Teel | 36 | 1-12 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5.6 |
| Kmani Doughty | 32 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -5.0 |
| Derek Vorst | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -6.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Bruno Alocen | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jayan Walker | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Aaron Gray | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Josiah LeGree | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.0 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Whitt | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -3.1 |
| Isaiah Walker | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Tyler Lundblade | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Brigham Rogers | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 20 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Aidan Noyes | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Brody Peebles | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Sam Orme | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +11.2 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5.4 |
* = starter