Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Jackson | 29 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 29 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Tyem Freeman | 29 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -5.7 |
| Ethan Pickett | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -19.3 |
| Jordan Mason | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Filip Skobalj | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -9.6 |
| Saša Ciani | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Koby Jeffries | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Josh Reaves | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 38 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 29 | +14.8 |
| Mitch Mascari | 38 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +15.5 |
| Daniel Abreu | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +17.9 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +15.1 |
| Isaia Howard | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Tavion Banks | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -6.8 |
| Cam Manyawu | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Nate Ferguson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Kael Combs | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
* = starter