Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis Jr. | 40 | 11-19 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | +0.9 |
| Ali Dibba | 37 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Drew Steffe | 37 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 31 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Jarrett Hensley | 23 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Jorge Moreno | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Sheridan Sharp | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Davion Sykes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood | 39 | 6-18 | 3-11 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Terence Harcum | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Nick Ellington | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +4.1 |
| Kylen Milton | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +5.7 |
| AJ Ferguson | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Alden Applewhite | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +5.6 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.1 |
* = starter