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2025-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.7 โœ— (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabriel Pozzato 40 7-16 1-9 7-8 4 1 0 0 1 22 10 +11.7
Tayshawn Comer 40 7-17 3-6 4-6 5 5 2 0 4 21 12 +11.7
Joshua Hughes 37 7-12 1-4 0-0 10 0 1 1 1 15 14 +11.4
Connor Turnbull 25 7-10 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 15 11 +11.9
Tanner Cuff 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 1 1 6 8 -0.3
Kaia Berridge 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 +12.4
Gui Tesch 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.3

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Samage Teel 40 6-13 2-5 7-8 5 9 1 0 5 21 18 -11.8
Camp Wagner 38 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -5.4
Jaden Daughtry 23 8-14 2-3 5-8 6 2 0 1 1 23 17 -8.2
Kmani Doughty 23 2-4 2-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 8 -2.6
Bruno Alocen 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 3 -17.2
Aaron Gray 19 2-8 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -5.9
Jayan Walker 19 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 6 7 -1.1
Derek Vorst 17 1-3 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -3.8

* = starter