Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Deen | 34 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Darius Hannah | 31 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -5.6 |
| Zek Montgomery | 30 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +4.8 |
| Christian Davis | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Almar Atlason | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Demarion Burch | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Jaquan Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Corey Thomas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Davis | 34 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 33 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 22 | -5.1 |
| Dalton Banks | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -11.8 |
| Chase Walker | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -5.4 |
| Jack Daugherty | 24 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | -3.9 |
| Landon Wolf | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +9.5 |
| Caden Boser | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Ty Pence | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter