Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -5.2 |
| Landon Wolf | 31 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Chase Walker | 29 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 18 | +1.2 |
| Ty Pence | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -5.2 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Dalton Banks | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Jordan Davis | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Jack Daugherty | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Caden Boser | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5.5 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner | 39 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +9.6 |
| Samage Teel | 39 | 14-23 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 20 | +10.3 |
| Bruno Alocen | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +24.5 |
| Kmani Doughty | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Aaron Gray | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -17.7 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +10.4 |
| Derek Vorst | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Jayan Walker | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +10.5 |
| Markus Harding | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Josiah LeGree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
* = starter