Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 37 | 7-11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +8.4 |
| Isaiah Walker | 36 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Carter Whitt | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 11 | +7.7 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 30 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 15 | +9.1 |
| Brigham Rogers | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Aidan Noyes | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Brody Peebles | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Jake Dykstra | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Win Miller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Scharnowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | -8.0 |
| Darius DeAveiro | 38 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | +4.1 |
| Carson Schwieger | 36 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 25 | -3.4 |
| All Wright | 28 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -8.7 |
| Tyler Schmidt | 22 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -2.2 |
| Kaspar Sepp | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -8.3 |
| Justus McNair | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Isaiah Shaw | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4.6 |
| C. Schwieger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
* = starter