Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +10 (63-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mason | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Filip Skobalj | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Tyem Freeman | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -7.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 24 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 21 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +3.6 |
| Saša Ciani | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -10.3 |
| Ethan Pickett | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Josh Reaves | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Koby Jeffries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum | 40 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | +8.8 |
| AJ Ferguson | 40 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Kylen Milton | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +6.2 |
| Alden Applewhite | 32 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Nick Ellington | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Justin Morgan | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +12.0 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter