Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Brady II | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | -12.3 |
| Dez White | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -4.6 |
| Jalen Hampton | 30 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | -5.8 |
| Zaxton King | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -23.0 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -8.3 |
| Chase Martin | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Wesley Oba | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Logan Epes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 38 | 9-15 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 16 | +13.0 |
| Brigham Rogers | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Isaiah Walker | 30 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Carter Whitt | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Jonathan Pierre | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Aidan Noyes | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Brody Peebles | 17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Win Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Jake Dykstra | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
* = starter