Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner | 42 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Samage Teel | 41 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | -4.4 |
| Aaron Gray | 36 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | +3.6 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Kmani Doughty | 30 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Markus Harding | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Jayan Walker | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +11.1 |
| Bruno Alocen | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.8 |
| Josiah LeGree | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 45 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Mitch Mascari | 45 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Daniel Abreu | 40 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +0.6 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 30 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +10.4 |
| Tavion Banks | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Cam Manyawu | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Kael Combs | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Nate Ferguson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Isaia Howard | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.0 |
* = starter