Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UIC Flames -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Davis | 32 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -6.4 |
| Chase Walker | 28 | 10-14 | 1-1 | 10-13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 29 | +10.8 |
| Dalton Banks | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +6.9 |
| Ty Pence | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 24 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +5.8 |
| Landon Wolf | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Caden Boser | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Jack Daugherty | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.0 |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyem Freeman | 33 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | -4.7 |
| Jordan Mason | 32 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +9.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Ahmad Henderson II | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Ethan Pickett | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Saša Ciani | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Filip Skobalj | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +6.0 |
| Modestas Kancleris | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Josh Reaves | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Koby Jeffries | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter